Our Equity Top Pick List
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India: A Changing Economy and Society
We are taking a closer look at India—which is also featured in our Investment Outlook—in a multi-part analysis. In our most recent installment, we examined the major stages of development following the country’s independence; now, in addition to the changes in India’s economic structure, we are focusing on the country’s demographics. On the positive side: India is the world’s most populous country, yet the median age is significantly lower than in China, for example. According to plans, India is set to be transformed into a developed economy by 2047, and education will play a key role in this, as the country aims to increase the number of students enrolled in higher education over the coming years.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Gold and silver continue to follow a downward trend. Following the long-signal from two weeks ago, oil is currently undergoing a strong retest; the coming days will determine whether it remains justified to seek long positions. Natural gas prices are rising at an accelerating pace. Copper has reached the calculated level, which it failed to break through even on a second attempt; however, its trend is upward, so it may soon attempt to reach new highs again. Both wheat and corn are in a trend-like decline: the upward trends have broken, so it is not advisable to seek positions on the buy side for the time being.
We have updated our Equity Top Pick List to reflect the events of the past quarter. The list includes those stocks, typically US and European ones, that we consider to be proper investment choices from a fundamental point of view. It can provide a starting point for building a sector-diversified equity exposure in portfolios, but can also be used as a watch list. Technical analysis should be used to time / determine the specific investment decision.
Given the fundamental selection process, the stocks on the list should be treated as longer-term investment opportunities, but are reviewed on a quarterly basis to check whether the stock is on track with our original expectations or whether there is a sector peer with a better risk/return profile. We note that that our latest Investment Outlook recommends neutral overall exposure to the equity asset class.
Over the past quarter, we have removed the stocks of Ero Copper, Albemarle, and PayPal from our list. The latest analyses of the stocks that are still on our list are available at the links below:
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