Heineken: It pays to be vigilant
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Forty Days of Madness on the South Korean Stock Market
The South Korean stock market posted an astonishing rise in the first half of the year, driven largely by the artificial intelligence-related semiconductor boom that benefited both Samsung and SK Hynix. As foreign investors became net sellers, the role of local retail investors has become increasingly prominent in recent times. However, the introduction of leveraged ETFs tracking a single stock further exacerbated the already mounting volatility in South Korea’s stock market. Following a sharp rally, a reversal occurred in mid-June, followed by a significant correction in July. In light of these developments, we examined what might happen next on the South Korean stock market.
The European defense industry could perform well
The European defense sector has come to the forefront in our momentum-based screening list. European companies that stand to benefit from rising defense spending remain the focus of investor attention. Based on our screening, two French companies—Dassault Aviation and Thales—have come into focus. As a manufacturer of Rafale fighter jets and Falcon business jets, Dassault Aviation is a key player in the global aviation industry, while Thales is one of the leading suppliers of defense electronics, radar, communications, and cybersecurity systems. The technical outlook for both stocks has been favorable recently, and significant opportunities may arise based on the technical patterns that have formed. As a result, it may be worth keeping an eye out for long entry opportunities in these stocks in the near future.
Although markets are showing a slight upturn, momentum is still lacking and rebuilding it will take time. As a result, there are no real opportunities to be found: there are no high-quality stocks awaiting a turnaround that offer serious return prospects. The analysis focused on two companies, Henkel and Heineken. Both stocks show some signs of accumulation, and the downward trends have been broken, but neither stock shows any real significant potential at this stage.
Best rated European stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture
Henkel (daily): Over the past two weeks, the buying side has taken control. 75 is an important level; if it can break through, an important support zone could form below 75, from which the zone between 81.25 and 87.5 could be reached.
Heineken (daily): The downward trend was broken when the price rose above 62.5. Since it was able to break out of this prolonged sideways accumulation phase, this could create a good basis for further gains. Values above 68.75 seem achievable. It is worth managing risk along the thin green upward trend line.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular European stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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