The earnings season is nearing its end
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Our Equity Top Pick List
We have updated our Equity Top Pick List to reflect the events of the past quarter. The list includes those stocks, typically US and European ones, that we consider to be proper investment choices from a fundamental point of view. It can provide a starting point for building a sector-diversified equity exposure in portfolios, but can also be used as a watch list. Technical analysis should be used to time / determine the specific investment decision.
Could the momentum return in the semiconductors?
The semiconductor sector has had a challenging quarter, with its performance in recent months lagging behind improvements in underlying fundamentals, even as AI-driven demand remained exceptionally strong. The accelerating adoption of AI by enterprises and the proliferation of AI agents are significantly increasing the demand for computing capacity, which points to a further surge in cloud services and data center investments. Given current supply constraints, record-high backlogs, and higher-than-expected investment needs, we expect further upward revisions to earnings forecasts in the semiconductor industry. Nevertheless, the sector’s valuation appears favorable from a historical perspective, which, in our view, could result in a more attractive risk-return profile in the coming months.
The fourth quarter earnings season is coming to an end in the US, but there are still some important earnings reports coming up this week: Nvidia and Home Depot, among others, will be releasing their latest figures this week. In Europe, Allianz, BASF, and Puma, among others, will be reporting this week. Among Hungarian companies, Magyar Telekom will publish its earnings report on February 25, Masterplast will report on February 26, and Richter and AutoWallis will also publish their latest figures on February 27.
By Monday noon, 85% of the companies comprising the S&P 500 had already published their latest figures, with these companies reporting average revenues 1.9% above expectations. In terms of revenues, 65.8% of companies that have published their earnings reports so far have delivered positive surprises, while 18.6% have delivered negative surprises. In terms of EPS, companies that have published their earnings reports so far reported an average of 7.7% above expectations; 75% of the companies that have reported so far caused positive surprises, while 19.8% caused negative surprises.
Among the components of the Stoxx600 index, 48% of companies have already published their earnings reports, with these companies reporting revenues 2.2% above expectations on average. Of the companies that have published their earnings reports so far, 46.8% caused positive surprises in terms of revenues, while 33.9% caused negative surprises. In terms of EPS, companies that have published their earnings reports so far reported an average of 2.8% above expectations; 50.8% of companies that have reported so far caused positive surprises, while 42.3% caused negative surprises.
In the last week of February, US companies such as Nvidia and Home Depot will report, while in Europe, Allianz, BASF, and Puma, among others, will publish their latest figures. Among Hungarian companies, Magyar Telekom will publish its earnings report on February 25, Masterplast will report on February 26, and Richter and AutoWallis will also publish their latest figures on February 27.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.02.23. – 02.27.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.03.02. – 03.06.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.03.09. – 03.13.
S&P500 fourth quarter earnings dates - 2026. 02.23. - 03.31.
Stoxx600 fourth quarter earnings dates - 2026. 02.23. - 03.31.
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