The earnings season continues
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Commodities - Technical Analysis
Gold and silver have broken their downtrends, triggering upward waves that still hold potential for further gains. After a strong retest, the oil price may settle into a range, but there are still opportunities for further gains. Natural gas prices did not reach a new low, but no pattern indicating a reversal has yet emerged. Copper is maintaining its upward trend; it must rise again within the next few days, or the rally could break down. Wheat and corn are also beginning to turn upward again from key support levels after strong retests.
Strong performance from Expedia
Despite the war in the Middle East and rising energy prices, U.S. consumer spending—and, by extension, travel DEMAND—proved to be sufficiently resilient in the second quarter, from which Expedia also benefited greatly. The company beat analysts’ expectations across all major metrics, with revenue growing by 14%, while also successfully maintaining its strategic goal of cost control, resulting in profit growth of over 20%. Cash generation is very strong, which is being used to repurchase shares, and for now, there's no sign of a slowdown on the demand side, leading the company to raise their full-year expectations for this year. Given the improving fundamentals, we are raising our fair value estimate to $365.
The fourth-quarter earnings season continues in the US. Walt Disney, PayPal, Uber, and Amazon, among others, will publish their latest figures in the first week of February. Meanwhile, Infineon and Novo Nordisk, among others, will publish their earnings reports from Europe in the coming week.
As of Friday noon, 31% of the companies comprising the S&P 500 had already published their latest figures, with these companies reporting revenues 1.4% above expectations on average. In terms of revenues, 60.1% of companies that have published their earnings reports so far have delivered positive surprises, while 23.5% have delivered negative surprises. In terms of EPS, companies that have published their earnings reports so far reported an average of 9.9% above expectations; 79.1% of companies that have reported so far caused positive surprises, while 15.6% caused negative surprises.
Among the components of the Stoxx600 index, 11% of companies have published their earnings reports so far. With these companies reporting revenues 0.7% above expectations on average, of the companies that have published their earnings reports so far, 50.9% caused positive surprises, while 30.2% caused negative surprises. In terms of EPS, companies that have published their earnings reports so far reported an average of 1.6% above expectations; 54.6% of the companies that have reported so far caused positive surprises, while 36.4% caused negative surprises.
In the first week of February, US companies such as PayPal, Uber, Amazon, and Walt Disney will report, while in Europe, Infineon and Novo Nordisk, among others, will publish their latest figures. In the week of February 9, Ford, Coca-Cola, and McDonald's, among others, will publish their reports from the United States.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.02.02. – 02.06.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.02.09. – 02.13.
Fourth quarter earnings dates – 2026.02.16. – 02.20.
S&P500 fourth quarter earnings dates - 2026. 02.02. - 02.20.
Stoxx600 fourth quarter earnings dates - 2026. 02.02. - 02.20.
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