Ford and Mosaic Are Showing Signs of a Turnaround
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The government crisis is over – what lies ahead for Romania?
Romania has experienced five turbulent months on the domestic political front. Nevertheless, after several prime ministerial candidates failed to secure parliamentary support, a new government was finally formed in late October. The Romanian equity market, which had performed strongly during the first half of the year, lost momentum towards the end of August and entered a downward correction in September. It then rebounded in October, partly reflecting the reduced risks of a snap election and a sovereign rating downgrade to below investment grade. While domestic political tensions have subsided, the BET index has yet to recover to the vicinity of its August peak. At the same time, Romanian equities no longer appear particularly inexpensive from a valuation perspective.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Signs of a turnaround have emerged for gold and silver, and a strong upward move could trigger the next upward wave. A breakout above the key downtrend lines could also be on the horizon, which would further reinforce the positive turnaround. The price of oil has broken below the 100-day moving average, weakening the bullish outlook, and with the uptrend broken, it has entered a correction phase. Natural gas is showing a correction following a sharp decline, but has not yet managed to break through its downtrend line. Copper continues to trade within a wide range and is approaching the lower end of that range. Following a significant decline, wheat and corn prices have reached key support levels from which an upward correction—or even a new uptrend—is likely to begin.
U.S. markets remain stretched, so the number of momentum-based trading opportunities has declined significantly. As a result, it is becoming increasingly difficult to find high-quality stocks poised for an uptrend. Today’s analysis once again features Mosaic, one of the world’s largest fertilizer manufacturers, and Ford Motor Company. We recommended Mosaic stock two weeks ago, but at that time we made the buy recommendation contingent on certain conditions being met. Those conditions have since been met, so it’s worth keeping a close eye on the stock and looking for entry opportunities. In the case of Ford, further confirmation is needed; however, the current risk-reward ratio appears favorable, so this stock may also be added to the list of long-term investment opportunities.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Mosaic (daily): Even though this stock had already been one of the selections on the momentum-based screening list two weeks ago, it has now secured an even higher position. It managed to break above the 25 level and then retest it. We’re seeing days of accumulation, and sentiment surrounding the stock is shifting. This chart remains suitable for buying on dips. The minimum expected target price is around 31.25, but it could even go higher later on.
Ford (daily): Automotive stocks aren’t the most popular these days, yet this chart tells a different story. To begin with, the overall trend has been upward since early 2025. Within this uptrend, the target price was at least around 18.75, a level it has not yet reached. After two rallies in recent weeks, its trading range has narrowed significantly, and it is now attempting to break out upward again from this range. Risk can be managed by a close below 12.5, while the target price, upon a break above the red trendline, points to at least the aforementioned 18.75 area, where a gap awaits filling.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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