Honeywell's stock price may be on the verge of a breakout
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Forty Days of Madness on the South Korean Stock Market
The South Korean stock market posted an astonishing rise in the first half of the year, driven largely by the artificial intelligence-related semiconductor boom that benefited both Samsung and SK Hynix. As foreign investors became net sellers, the role of local retail investors has become increasingly prominent in recent times. However, the introduction of leveraged ETFs tracking a single stock further exacerbated the already mounting volatility in South Korea’s stock market. Following a sharp rally, a reversal occurred in mid-June, followed by a significant correction in July. In light of these developments, we examined what might happen next on the South Korean stock market.
The European defense industry could perform well
The European defense sector has come to the forefront in our momentum-based screening list. European companies that stand to benefit from rising defense spending remain the focus of investor attention. Based on our screening, two French companies—Dassault Aviation and Thales—have come into focus. As a manufacturer of Rafale fighter jets and Falcon business jets, Dassault Aviation is a key player in the global aviation industry, while Thales is one of the leading suppliers of defense electronics, radar, communications, and cybersecurity systems. The technical outlook for both stocks has been favorable recently, and significant opportunities may arise based on the technical patterns that have formed. As a result, it may be worth keeping an eye out for long entry opportunities in these stocks in the near future.
Major indices began to fall at the end of last week, but the movements were news-driven, and there has been significant volatility, which has resulted in a low number of opportunities indicating a quality breakout for the past two weeks. This week, one of the stocks from our Equity Top Pick List, Honeywell, also ranked high on the momentum list. After a minor pullback, the technical picture could indeed be supportive.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Honeywell (daily): The chart indicates a potential long opportunity, but it is only worth opening a position if specific technical conditions are met. Honeywell, which is on our Equity Top Pick List, has been trading within a consolidation channel for some time and is currently attempting to break out of it to the upside. The $250 level represents an important technical resistance. The most recent upward wave showed the greatest relative strength: the stock has just experienced a day of heavy buying volume with several sharp rallies, indicating favorable long-term buying interest. Based on this, an attractive long entry opportunity may emerge following a retest. It is worth looking for a buying opportunity primarily after the price retests the level around $234. If the price successfully breaks through the $250 resistance level, a target price of around $281 appears at least achievable from a technical perspective.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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