Honeywell's stock price may be on the verge of a breakout
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After a hot fall, a spring tornado could wreak havoc in France
Barely half a year after this year’s French budget was passed, the wrangling over the 2027 budget is about to begin, but that’s not all, because France will also hold a presidential election next spring. During the first public presidential debate, some of the radical candidates put forward ideas that were, at times, unconventional. Although the presidential election in late April still seems far off, based on the latest polls, if no candidate secures enough votes and a runoff is held, it cannot be ruled out that two radical presidential candidates will face off against each other. Market participants may have begun to price in this growing uncertainty, as the yield spread between French and German 10-year government bonds has started to widen again in recent weeks. The period ahead promises to be full of twists and turns, so it will be worth keeping a close eye on developments in French domestic politics.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Gold and silver prices have retested their uptrend lines, so the long-term trend may continue. Oil prices have broken out of a contracting pattern, which may signal the start of another upward wave. Natural gas prices have also begun to rise, signaling a buy. In the case of copper, the main uptrend remains in effect, and there are currently no signs indicating a change in the trend’s structure. Following significant gains, wheat and corn have become heavily overbought, increasing the likelihood of a correction.
Major indices began to fall at the end of last week, but the movements were news-driven, and there has been significant volatility, which has resulted in a low number of opportunities indicating a quality breakout for the past two weeks. This week, one of the stocks from our Equity Top Pick List, Honeywell, also ranked high on the momentum list. After a minor pullback, the technical picture could indeed be supportive.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Honeywell (daily): The chart indicates a potential long opportunity, but it is only worth opening a position if specific technical conditions are met. Honeywell, which is on our Equity Top Pick List, has been trading within a consolidation channel for some time and is currently attempting to break out of it to the upside. The $250 level represents an important technical resistance. The most recent upward wave showed the greatest relative strength: the stock has just experienced a day of heavy buying volume with several sharp rallies, indicating favorable long-term buying interest. Based on this, an attractive long entry opportunity may emerge following a retest. It is worth looking for a buying opportunity primarily after the price retests the level around $234. If the price successfully breaks through the $250 resistance level, a target price of around $281 appears at least achievable from a technical perspective.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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