The Austrian energy giant is starting to look promising
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US bank shares fell
The third-quarter earnings season in the US has picked up pace following the release of the latest figures from US banks. Based on preliminary expectations, the third quarter is likely to have closed with strong earnings growth for S&P 500 companies, led by the energy and technology sectors. The major US banks have still achieved solid growth on an annual basis, indicating that their operations remain strong, but the pace has clearly slowed in many cases, which has tended to result in negative share price reactions.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Gold and silver continued their downward trend, bouncing off key levels. Until their downward trends are broken, they will not be able to produce a significant rise. The fall in oil prices reversed from the $87.5 level and began a slight upward movement. Natural gas remained in an uptrend; a significant rise could even occur if it breaks out upwards. The price of copper has become stuck in a wider range, so the oversold and overbought zones may offer more favourable trading opportunities. The falling prices of wheat and corn have reached key support levels; a buying reaction from these levels could present favourable long opportunities with limited risk.
European markets are also trading near key resistance levels, in the shadow of previous highs, so it’s no surprise that momentum strategies are currently underperforming. It’s hard to find a stock that shows a convincing reversal signal and thus offers an attractive long opportunity. In today’s analysis, we examine the chart of Austria’s largest electricity provider and one of Europe’s leading hydropower companies. The stock belongs to the category of defensive, low-volatility companies that pay stable dividends. Normally, we would look for a clearer technical picture and a stronger long setup, but in the current market environment, high-quality reversal opportunities are so scarce that, out of the four stocks we examined, this one proved to be the most promising.
Best rated European stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Verbund (daily): Looking at the technical chart for this stock, it’s fair to say that there’s now a realistic chance of an uptrend, as it has broken its downtrend and formed a higher low. Unfortunately, the upside potential isn’t great; significant resistance looms around the natural level of 68.75. 62.5 is also a resistance level, so it may be better to buy primarily during a retest.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular European stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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