A sharp turnaround in the healthcare sector
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After a hot fall, a spring tornado could wreak havoc in France
Barely half a year after this year’s French budget was passed, the wrangling over the 2027 budget is about to begin, but that’s not all, because France will also hold a presidential election next spring. During the first public presidential debate, some of the radical candidates put forward ideas that were, at times, unconventional. Although the presidential election in late April still seems far off, based on the latest polls, if no candidate secures enough votes and a runoff is held, it cannot be ruled out that two radical presidential candidates will face off against each other. Market participants may have begun to price in this growing uncertainty, as the yield spread between French and German 10-year government bonds has started to widen again in recent weeks. The period ahead promises to be full of twists and turns, so it will be worth keeping a close eye on developments in French domestic politics.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Gold and silver prices have retested their uptrend lines, so the long-term trend may continue. Oil prices have broken out of a contracting pattern, which may signal the start of another upward wave. Natural gas prices have also begun to rise, signaling a buy. In the case of copper, the main uptrend remains in effect, and there are currently no signs indicating a change in the trend’s structure. Following significant gains, wheat and corn have become heavily overbought, increasing the likelihood of a correction.
The market has shifted from the rally—which had been driven primarily by the technology sector—into a rotation phase, where liquidity freed up by profit-taking in the previous leaders may flow into the stocks of lagging but still sound companies. This is why the Stoxx 600 index is not falling: the stocks that contributed significantly to the rally are already in their correction phase, while the underperformers have begun to rise. Companies in the healthcare sector continue to perform well, which is why we examined the UK-based Haleon in today’s analysis. The company operates in the global consumer healthcare market; its main products include non-prescription medicines, vitamins, oral care products, and other health and wellness products. Haleon spun off from GSK (GlaxoSmithKline) in 2022 and has since operated as an independent, publicly traded company.
Best rated European stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Haleon (daily): The downtrend may have come to an end; we saw a strong buying day last week. A higher low and rising volume indicate that sentiment has shifted. The downtrend structure has also changed, so it’s worth looking for an entry on the long side. The minimum target price is 375, but the 406 area could also come into focus. It’s advisable to manage risk using the thick green trendline.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular European stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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