Only Consumer staples stocks are thriving
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Commodities - Technical Analysis
The prices of the two precious metals corrected higher, reaching their downtrend lines, from which they turned downward again. These charts still do not offer significant long opportunities. Oil, on the other hand, broke through the minor corrective trend line and has resumed its upward trajectory. A return to the previous price level around 120 is also a possibility. The price of natural gas may currently test the downward trend line before turning upward. Copper has reached the expected level where its longer-term upward trend was extending, so it has also begun an upward correction. Wheat and corn prices appear to be consolidating as long as their key support levels remain intact.
Alibaba: a short-term burden can become a driving force later on
Alibaba reported quarterly results in March that fell short of expectations; fierce competition in e-commerce continues to weigh on profitability, despite strong performance in the cloud business. Looking ahead, however, the situation may be on a path to gradual improvement, while new launches continue to roll out in AI services, which could represent significant business potential for the coming years. The market still does not price this in at current price levels, so even if heavy capex spending have a negative impact on performance in the short term, the company may be able to outgrow this over time. Moreover, due to the decline in share prices over the past few months, valuation levels are now more favorable, so we are maintaining the stock on our Equity Top Pick List.
We are still finding stocks showing significant strength primarily in the basic consumer goods sector. The sector gained momentum last week and has since had a particularly strong week, with many companies joining in. During the week, Molson Coors Beverage and Target shares showed strong buying confirmation.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Molson Coors Beverage (daily): The paper had already broken the downward trend earlier, but only now has it really confirmed the upward trend. After retesting the 50 level, it has reached a new swing high in recent days. The 56.25-59.38 level could easily be reached. The risk should be managed along the thin green upward trend line.
Target (daily): The stock had already broken its downward trend earlier, but it is performing very well, as we only saw a retest around 100 and since then it has run to a new swing high. There is a weaker level around 125, but strong resistance is expected at the 150 level, which could be a longer-term target. The rising green trend line could be the risk management level, and if it breaks, the long wave could end.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Not a single paper met the screening criteria this week.
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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