Only Consumer staples stocks are thriving
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The government crisis is over – what lies ahead for Romania?
Romania has experienced five turbulent months on the domestic political front. Nevertheless, after several prime ministerial candidates failed to secure parliamentary support, a new government was finally formed in late October. The Romanian equity market, which had performed strongly during the first half of the year, lost momentum towards the end of August and entered a downward correction in September. It then rebounded in October, partly reflecting the reduced risks of a snap election and a sovereign rating downgrade to below investment grade. While domestic political tensions have subsided, the BET index has yet to recover to the vicinity of its August peak. At the same time, Romanian equities no longer appear particularly inexpensive from a valuation perspective.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Signs of a turnaround have emerged for gold and silver, and a strong upward move could trigger the next upward wave. A breakout above the key downtrend lines could also be on the horizon, which would further reinforce the positive turnaround. The price of oil has broken below the 100-day moving average, weakening the bullish outlook, and with the uptrend broken, it has entered a correction phase. Natural gas is showing a correction following a sharp decline, but has not yet managed to break through its downtrend line. Copper continues to trade within a wide range and is approaching the lower end of that range. Following a significant decline, wheat and corn prices have reached key support levels from which an upward correction—or even a new uptrend—is likely to begin.
We are still finding stocks showing significant strength primarily in the basic consumer goods sector. The sector gained momentum last week and has since had a particularly strong week, with many companies joining in. During the week, Molson Coors Beverage and Target shares showed strong buying confirmation.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Molson Coors Beverage (daily): The paper had already broken the downward trend earlier, but only now has it really confirmed the upward trend. After retesting the 50 level, it has reached a new swing high in recent days. The 56.25-59.38 level could easily be reached. The risk should be managed along the thin green upward trend line.
Target (daily): The stock had already broken its downward trend earlier, but it is performing very well, as we only saw a retest around 100 and since then it has run to a new swing high. There is a weaker level around 125, but strong resistance is expected at the 150 level, which could be a longer-term target. The rising green trend line could be the risk management level, and if it breaks, the long wave could end.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Not a single paper met the screening criteria this week.
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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