Signs of a reversal in 2 US stocks
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The government crisis is over – what lies ahead for Romania?
Romania has experienced five turbulent months on the domestic political front. Nevertheless, after several prime ministerial candidates failed to secure parliamentary support, a new government was finally formed in late October. The Romanian equity market, which had performed strongly during the first half of the year, lost momentum towards the end of August and entered a downward correction in September. It then rebounded in October, partly reflecting the reduced risks of a snap election and a sovereign rating downgrade to below investment grade. While domestic political tensions have subsided, the BET index has yet to recover to the vicinity of its August peak. At the same time, Romanian equities no longer appear particularly inexpensive from a valuation perspective.
Commodities - Technical Analysis
Signs of a turnaround have emerged for gold and silver, and a strong upward move could trigger the next upward wave. A breakout above the key downtrend lines could also be on the horizon, which would further reinforce the positive turnaround. The price of oil has broken below the 100-day moving average, weakening the bullish outlook, and with the uptrend broken, it has entered a correction phase. Natural gas is showing a correction following a sharp decline, but has not yet managed to break through its downtrend line. Copper continues to trade within a wide range and is approaching the lower end of that range. Following a significant decline, wheat and corn prices have reached key support levels from which an upward correction—or even a new uptrend—is likely to begin.
Markets are approaching record highs; however, high-quality turnaround opportunities remain scarce. The broader market continues to exhibit limited potential, with index performance largely driven by companies that have already delivered exceptional results. Last week, we observed notable reversals among airline stocks, and now another sector is joining the trend. Southwest Airlines’ price action distinguished itself from peers, and SLB Limited (formerly Schlumberger) is now signaling a potential turnaround within the oil sector.
Best rated US stocks based on momentum ranking
Compelling technical picture:
Southwest Airlines (daily): A few days ago, the share price broke out of its correction range. As it reached a new high, it opened up room for further upward movement. Any dip can be used as a buying opportunity. Breaking above $37.50 suggests a target price of around $50. $34.38 is the support level, which should not fall in order for the long position to be maintained.
SLB Limited(daily): A long-term decline may turn around in the coming days. Rising above 37.5 is a strong weapon on the long side, and after a period of accumulation, the buying side has become more active. At the same time, the decisive downward trend line has been broken, and after retesting it, the multi-month high has been broken. Based on this pattern, the short-term outlook is around 43.75, but we may see even higher levels, with a target price of around 50 also possible.
List of stocks with a chance of a turnaround in the coming weeks
Most popular US stocks
The momentum model supports the creation of a technical based stock list that helps to find shorter-term trading opportunities. The model can be used to identify stocks that show reversal signals following more sustained falls/underperformance. We examine one-year, six-month, three-month, one-month and five-day momentum values, which are used to rank the stocks under consideration. The higher a stock is ranked in the order, the better it technically performs relative to the others. The change in the ranking over time is used to determine the life cycle of the stock.
- In the first table, we collect the stocks that show the most attractive picture compared to the others in a given week based on momentum factors, of which those are also presented in a separate chart where a favourable situation can be identified based on additional technical analysis tools.
- In the second table, we list the stocks that are already worthy of being placed in watchlist status. They are not among the best performers, but they have the potential to improve and signal a turnaround in a few days or weeks.
- In the third table, we have also collected the more popular stocks to help identify their position in the momentum order.
The report shows the results of a technical - quantitative based stock screening, which does not examine the fundamental background/value of the companies. For this reason, risk management/position sizing rules should be designed accordingly.
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