Institutional Investors Still Bullish on CEE
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The European defense industry could perform well
The European defense sector has come to the forefront in our momentum-based screening list. European companies that stand to benefit from rising defense spending remain the focus of investor attention. Based on our screening, two French companies—Dassault Aviation and Thales—have come into focus. As a manufacturer of Rafale fighter jets and Falcon business jets, Dassault Aviation is a key player in the global aviation industry, while Thales is one of the leading suppliers of defense electronics, radar, communications, and cybersecurity systems. The technical outlook for both stocks has been favorable recently, and significant opportunities may arise based on the technical patterns that have formed. As a result, it may be worth keeping an eye out for long entry opportunities in these stocks in the near future.
Over 30 senior financial professionals, active in CEE markets and managing more than EUR 6.5 billion in assets under direct control, participated in our Institutional Investor Survey. Here, we highlight the most notable insights.
Respondents taking higher risk relative to benchmark in equities and favoring EM and CEE exposures over the next 3 months. Institutional sentiment on CETOP country performance shows a clear rotation in expectations. Poland strengthens as the top pick for outperformance, while Hungary also gains traction.
The survey shows a clear shift toward neutrality on Max Index duration positioning as participants weigh two offsetting forces: (1) the government’s decision to raise the budget deficit target, which pushed yields higher from early November and increased perceived risk, and (2) elevated purchases of government bonds by Hungarian banks to reduce extra profit tax, which supported the demand side and helped stabilize yields.
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